Sunday, May 30, 2010
Thursday, May 27, 2010
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
More Hypocrisy from Advocates of Smaller Government
In the May 25, 2010 Florida Times-Union blog entry, "Small-government Rubio said it may be time for federal takeover of cleanup ops", David Hunt highlights the hypocrisy inherent in many advocates of free markets, smaller government and lower taxes. When insufficiently regulated markets create socially undesirable outcomes, such as the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, those harmed by the market failure scream that the government should do more. You cannot have it both ways. It is easy to support free markets and smaller government when one fails to consider the negative consequences. Rational economists argue those consequences always should be considered.
According to David Hunt's blog:
According to David Hunt's blog:
During a campaign stop in Jacksonville, former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio said he's been disturbed by the lack of technology to harness the oil leak in the Gulf of Mexico.
Although Rubio presents himself as a small-government candidate for U.S. Senate, he said it may be time for a government takeover of operations.
Here's what he had to say:
There's an increasing loss of patience with British Petroleum and, quite frankly, with the federal government. I think one of the things we've learned, sadly, is that cleanup technologies have not advanced at all over the last 30 years. They're basically making it up as they go along. The fact that they were drilling at such a deep level, and there wasn't the technology to deal with a spill if it happened, is in and of itself frightening. Those questions have to be answered.
Priority number one has got to be focus on preventing this from getting worse. If that means the federal government has to step in and take over than that's what needs to happen.
The second thing, we need to figure out why this happened so that it never happens again. You know how when there's an airline accident, how the FAA treats that very seriously? They investigate it down to the thread as to what caused that accident so that airline travel in America is exceedingly safe. The same needs to happen here.
Monday, May 24, 2010
The Meaning of Wealth Translated Around the World
Sunday, May 23, 2010
Fiscal crises threaten Europe's generous benefits
In the May 23, 2010 article "Fiscal crises threaten Europe's generous benefits," Associated Press writer Michael Weissenstein reports:
LONDON (AP) -- Six weeks of vacation a year. Retirement at 60. Thousands of euros for having a baby. A good university education for less than the cost of a laptop.
The system known as the European welfare state was built after World War II as the keystone of a shared prosperity meant to prevent future conflict. Generous lifelong benefits have since become a defining feature of modern Europe.
Now the welfare state -- cherished by many Europeans as an alternative to what they see as dog-eat-dog American capitalism -- is coming under its most serious threat in decades: Europe's sovereign debt crisis.
Deep budget cuts are under way across Europe. Although the first round is focused mostly on government payrolls -- the least politically explosive target -- welfare benefits are looking increasingly vulnerable.
"The current welfare state is unaffordable," said Uri Dadush, director of the Carnegie Endowment's International Economics Program. "The crisis has made the day of reckoning closer by several years in virtually all the industrial countries."
Germany will decide next month just how to cut at least 3 billion euros ($3.75 billion) from the budget. The government is suggesting for the first time that it could make fresh cuts to unemployment benefits that include giving Germans under 50 about 60 percent of their last salary before taxes for up to a year. That benefit itself emerged after cuts to an even more generous package about five years ago.
"We have to adjust our social security systems in a way that they motivate people to accept regular work and do not give counterproductive incentives," German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble told news weekly Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung on Saturday.
The uncertainty over the future of the welfare state is undermining the continent's self-image at a time when other key elements of post-war European identity are fraying.
Large-scale immigration from outside Europe is challenging the continent's assumptions about its dedication to tolerance and liberty as countries move to control individual clothing -- the Islamic veil -- in the name of freedom and equality.
Deeply wary of military conflict, many nations now find themselves nonetheless mired in Afghanistan on behalf of what was supposed to be a North Atlantic alliance, shying away from wholesale pullout while doing their utmost to keep troops from actual combat.
Demographers and economists began warning decades ago that social welfare was doomed by the aging of Europe's baby boomers. Some governments had been trimming and reforming, but now almost all are scrambling to close deficits in order to prevent a wider collapse of confidence in the euro.
"We need to change, to adapt ... for the sake of the protection of our social model," European Union Commissioner Joaquin Almunia of Spain told reporters in Stockholm Thursday.
The move is risky: experts warn the cuts could undermine the growth needed to pull budgets back on a sustainable path.
On Monday, Britain unveils 6 billion pounds ($8.6 billion) in cuts -- mostly to government payrolls and expenses. The government has promised to raise the age at which citizens receive a state pension -- up from 60 to 65 for women, and from 65 to 66 for men. It also plans to toughen the welfare regime, requiring the unemployed to try to find jobs in order to collect benefits.
Britain says it will limit child tax credits and scrap a 250-pound ($360) payment to the families of every newborn. Ministers are reviewing the long-term affordability of the country's generous public sector pensions.
Funding for Britain's nationalized health care service will be protected under the new government, however, and should rise each year to 2015.
France's conservative government is focusing on raising the retirement age. Many workers can now retire at 60 with 50 percent of their average salary. Extra funds are available for retired civil servants, those with three or more children, military veterans and others.
A parliamentary debate is planned for September. Unions in France are organizing a national day of protest marches and strikes on Thursday to demand protection of wages and the retirement age.
In Spain, billions in cuts to state salaries go into effect next month, and the Socialist government has frozen increases in pensions meant to compensate for inflation for at least two years.
"They've hit us really hard," said Federico Carbonero, 92, a retired soldier. He said he was unlikely to live long enough to see the worst of the pension freeze, but had no doubts he would have to start relying on savings to maintain his lifestyle.
Spain is cutting assistance payments for disabled people by 300 million euros ($375 million) and did away with a three-year-old bonus of 2,500 euros ($3,124.25) per new baby. It also has proposed hiking the retirement age for men from 65 to 67.
Countries in northern Europe have done a far better of reforming social welfare and have unemployment systems that focus on re-employing people instead of making their unemployment comfortable, said Gayle Allard, a professor of economic environment and country analysis at the Instituto de Empresa in Madrid.
Denmark and other Nordic countries are known for the world's highest taxes and most generous cradle-to-grave benefits. Denmark has implemented a system known broadly as "flexicurity," which combines flexibility for employers to hire and fire workers with financial security and training to prepare for new jobs.
Denmark had a 7.5 percent unemployment rate in the first quarter of this year, well below the EU average of 9.6 percent. Swedish and Finnish unemployment stood at 8.9 percent. Norway, with some of the world's most generous unemployment benefits fully funded by oil for the forseeable future, has Europe's lowest jobless rate, just 3 percent in April.
Southern European countries that have not moved toward reforming welfare in the same ways are paying a steep price.
After sharp cutbacks imposed as the condition of an international bailout this month, Greeks must now contribute to pension funds for 40 instead of 37 years before retiring, and the age of early retirement is set to 60 at the earliest.
Civil servants with monthly salaries of above 3,000 euros ($3,750) will lose two extra months of salary -- one paid at Christmas, the other split between Easter and summer vacation.
In Portugal, seen as another potential candidate for bailout, the government is focusing on hikes in income, corporate and sales taxes and has avoided drastic changes to welfare entitlements. Unemployment benefits will be cut somewhat and the out-of-work will have to accept any job paying more than 10 percent more than what they would receive in unemployment benefits.
The government is also stepping up checks on welfare claims, freezing public sector pay and slicing public investment.
"There's been a lack of willingness to shift away from welfare as purely social protection towards an approach which has been in much of northern Europe in recent years, which is welfare as social investment," said Iain Begg, a professor at the London School of Economics and Political Science's European Institute.
Otto Fricke, a budget expert for the Free Democrats, the coalition partner of German Chancellor Angela Merkel's Christian Democratic Union, told The Associated Press that no decisions on cuts have been made, but everything is on the table except education, pension funds and financial aid to developing countries. At least one high-ranking CDU member has called for the idea of protecting education to be re-examined, however.
German public education, which was virtually free until 2005, when some of Germany's 16 states started charging tuition fees of 1000 euros ($1,250) a year.
Virtually all Germany's students pay that much or less to attend state-funded universities, including elite institutions. Education isn't as cheap elsewhere in Europe but the 3,290 pounds ($4,720) per year paid by British students at Cambridge is still far less than Americans pay at comparable schools like Harvard, where annual tuition comes in just shy of $35,000.
The idea of cutting education is proving hard to swallow in the face of Germany's promise to contribute up to 147.6 billion euros ($184.5 billion) in loan guarantees to protect Greece and other countries that use the euro from bankruptcy.
"I am worried that this crisis will also affect me on a personal level, for example, that universities in Germany will raise the tuition in order to pay the loan they give to Greece," said Karoline Daederich, a 22-year-old university student from Berlin.
Friday, May 21, 2010
David M. Walker assesses the tax tea party movement
David M. Walker served as the comptroller general of the United States and head of the Government Accountability Office (GAO) from 1998 to 2008. In these positions, he was considered to be the chief accountant of the U.S: federal government.
In the May 21, 2010 Jacksonville.com blog post, "Former U.S. Comptroller General (an accountability guy) on the tea party," David Hunt provides David Walker's reply to a question about the tax tea party movement in the United States. According to Walker:
Walker earned a bachelor's degree in accounting from Jacksonville University in 1973. Since March 2008, Walker has been the president of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation where he tries to educate the public on the need for fiscal discipline and possible ways to achieve it. Walker's 2010 book, Comeback America: Turning the Country Around and Restoring Fiscal Responsibility provides elaboration of Walker's ideas.
In the May 21, 2010 Jacksonville.com blog post, "Former U.S. Comptroller General (an accountability guy) on the tea party," David Hunt provides David Walker's reply to a question about the tax tea party movement in the United States. According to Walker:
"On one hand, I share a lot of their concerns. On the other, I think we have to realize that the answers to our problems are not in the extremes. They're not in the far left or far right. There's a sensible center. While you want to change direction, you don't want to polarize Washington into further extremes. I understand public discontent, but I want it to be informed and constructive - not destructive - and not cause an increase in ideological divide. ... There is no party of fiscal responsibility. Neither Republicans or Democrats have proven that to us when they were in power. Maybe the mantra is "when in doubt, throw them out," but there needs to be an informed view."
Walker earned a bachelor's degree in accounting from Jacksonville University in 1973. Since March 2008, Walker has been the president of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation where he tries to educate the public on the need for fiscal discipline and possible ways to achieve it. Walker's 2010 book, Comeback America: Turning the Country Around and Restoring Fiscal Responsibility provides elaboration of Walker's ideas.
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
You are richer than you think you are.
In the May 11, 2010 MainStreet article "How Rich Are You?," Jeanine Skowronski reports:
You're richer than you think.
At least according to Poke, a London-based creative company that specializes in interactive media. Their Web site, The Global Rich List generates a wealth ranking for its users based on their annual income.
For example, if you make $52,000 a year (the median American household income for 2009), you are the 58,252,719 richest person in the world (or in the top 0.97 percentile of all moneymakers).
Someone who makes half of that ($26,000 a year) is still in the top 10%, ranked 569,942,529 on the Global Rich List.
These calculations are based on figures from the World Bank Development Research Group. To calculate an individual's position on the list, Poke assumes that the world's total population is 6 billion and the average worldwide annual income is $5,000.
The site uses your wealth ranking to invite you to share your wealth with others. It told me, for example, I could buy 25 fruit trees for farmers in Honduras for just $8 (as opposed to 12 organic oranges for the same price) or a $30 first aid kit for a village in Haiti (instead of an ER DVD box set). However silly these suggestions may be (who spends $30 to watch ER?), charitable giving is clearly the point.
According to the site, Poke "wanted to do something which would help people understand, in real terms, where they stand globally. They want us to realize that, in fact, most of us who are able to view this web page are in the privileged minority."
So in case you're missing the subtext here … the site doesn't exist just so you can tell all of your friends just how rich you are.
Friday, May 7, 2010
Employment Situation News Release
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The latest Employment Situation news release (http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf) was issued today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Highlights are below.
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Nonfarm payroll employment rose by 290,000 in April, the unemployment rate edged up to 9.9 percent, and the labor force increased sharply. Job gains occurred in manufacturing, professional and business services, health care, and leisure and
hospitality. Federal government employment also rose, reflecting continued hiring of temporary workers for Census 2010.
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News releases archives:
http://www.bls.gov/schedule/archives/all_nr.htm
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The latest Employment Situation news release (http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf) was issued today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Highlights are below.
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Nonfarm payroll employment rose by 290,000 in April, the unemployment rate edged up to 9.9 percent, and the labor force increased sharply. Job gains occurred in manufacturing, professional and business services, health care, and leisure and
hospitality. Federal government employment also rose, reflecting continued hiring of temporary workers for Census 2010.
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News releases archives:
http://www.bls.gov/schedule/archives/all_nr.htm
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Thursday, April 29, 2010
The Fed is not as Independent as Designers Planned It to Be
The Federal Reserve System was designed to be independent of political influence. The seven members of the Board of Governors serve 14-year terms. Thus, appointees can be in office longer than the U.S. President who appoints them. And the terms are staggered so that one term expires every two years, minimizing the influence of one President on the makeup of the Board. However, resignations and retirements can give a President opportunities to appoint a majority of the Board. As the article below explains, Barack Obama will soon make his fifth appointment and thus will have reshaped the composition of the U.S. central bank that guides monetary policy, controls the money supply, and oversees the banking system.
In the April 29, 2010 article "Obama to name Yellen as Fed's No. 2," Associated Press writer Darlene Superville reports:
In the April 29, 2010 article "Obama to name Yellen as Fed's No. 2," Associated Press writer Darlene Superville reports:
WASHINGTON – Putting a bigger stamp on the Federal Reserve, President Barack Obama is set to name Janet Yellen as vice chairwoman of the central bank and fill two other vacancies on the board, which has enormous power over Americans' pocketbooks.
The nominations are subject to Senate approval. If the Senate confirms all three nominees, Obama will have appointed five of the seven members of the Federal Reserve Board.
Obama's moves come as the Fed, whose decisions influence economic activity, employment and inflation, is facing political and economic challenges.
The Fed is steering the economy out of the worst recession since the 1930s, and legislation to overhaul the financial system would eliminate some of the Fed's authority while giving it new responsibilities. Some lawmakers think the Fed overstepped its authority by bailing out some big financial firms during the 2008 financial crisis.
Fed interest rate decisions affect the rates consumers pay on home mortgages and other consumer and business loans. On Wednesday, the Fed ended a two-day meeting by sticking to its pledge to hold rates at historic lows for an "extended period" to help energize the recovery.
Yellen is president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. As vice chair, the second-highest ranking Fed official, her duties would include helping build support for policy positions staked out by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, who has begun a second term.
Obama also is expected to nominate Sarah Raskin and Peter Diamond to the Fed board. Raskin is the Maryland commissioner of financial regulation. Diamond is an economist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
An official with advance knowledge of the moves spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity because the announcement was pending.
Yellen was a top adviser to President Bill Clinton and is considered a dove on monetary policy. That means she would be expected to be more concerned about high unemployment, currently holding at 9.7 percent nationally, than about rising inflation.
She would succeed Donald Kohn, who plans to depart at the end of June. Kohn has been a member of the Fed board since 2002.
Yellen and Diamond, who is an authority on Social Security, pensions and taxation, are Ph.D. economists. With Kohn's departure, the Fed would have just one professional economist, Bernanke. Of its other current members, Daniel Tarullo was a Georgetown University law professor, Kevin Warsh brought Wall Street experience and Elizabeth Duke was a banker. Warsh and Duke were nominated by President George W. Bush.
Raskin, who served as counsel to the Senate Banking Committee, would expand the Fed's expertise over financial regulation. That would include consumer issues, which are important to Obama and Congress as they seek to impose tighter oversight on the financial industry.
___
On the Net:
Federal Reserve: http://www.federalreserve.gov
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Bill Clinton Sees 'More Immigrants' As A Way To Reduce Deficit
Bill Clinton Sees 'More Immigrants' As A Way To Reduce Deficit
Dan Froomkin Dan Froomkin
Wed Apr 28, 2:26 pm ET
Former President Bill Clinton enthusiastically weighed into the blistering national debate on immigration today with a resounding assertion that America needs more immigrants -- not fewer -- to ensure its long-term fiscal future.
At a symposium on deficit reduction today (see my earlier story), Clinton said that one key to avoiding massive debt is to maintain a good ratio between people paying into the system, and those receiving payouts (through such programs as Social Security.)
That means more jobs and more people working, he said. "Which to me means more immigrants."
Clinton said he supports immigration reform as proposed by President Obama or as supported by Sen. John McCain before he changed his mind.
Clinton spoke glowingly of the immigrant experience in the United States. "We've got somebody from everywhere here, and they do well," he said.
And looking at the overall budget numbers, comparing money in to money out, "I don't think there's any alternative for us but increasing immigration," he said. "I just don't see any palatable way out of this unless that's part of the strategy."
Clinton didn't mention it, but it's not just legal immigrants who contribute to the plus side of the Treasury's balance sheet. In fact, undocumented immigrants are even more lucrative for the government, particularly Social Security. Many undocumented workers have payroll taxes automatically withheld from their wages, but because they use fake numbers, never collect the benefits.
Dan Froomkin Dan Froomkin
Wed Apr 28, 2:26 pm ET
Former President Bill Clinton enthusiastically weighed into the blistering national debate on immigration today with a resounding assertion that America needs more immigrants -- not fewer -- to ensure its long-term fiscal future.
At a symposium on deficit reduction today (see my earlier story), Clinton said that one key to avoiding massive debt is to maintain a good ratio between people paying into the system, and those receiving payouts (through such programs as Social Security.)
That means more jobs and more people working, he said. "Which to me means more immigrants."
Clinton said he supports immigration reform as proposed by President Obama or as supported by Sen. John McCain before he changed his mind.
Clinton spoke glowingly of the immigrant experience in the United States. "We've got somebody from everywhere here, and they do well," he said.
And looking at the overall budget numbers, comparing money in to money out, "I don't think there's any alternative for us but increasing immigration," he said. "I just don't see any palatable way out of this unless that's part of the strategy."
Clinton didn't mention it, but it's not just legal immigrants who contribute to the plus side of the Treasury's balance sheet. In fact, undocumented immigrants are even more lucrative for the government, particularly Social Security. Many undocumented workers have payroll taxes automatically withheld from their wages, but because they use fake numbers, never collect the benefits.
Saturday, April 24, 2010
A Vote for Lower Taxes May Be a Vote for Higher Taxes
When Florida voters approved Amendment 1 to the state constitution with the perceived promise that everyone would pay less in property taxes, most of them failed to consider the economic concept of tradeoffs and the reality that government services must be adequately funded. Amendment 1 essentially allows more of the assessed value of all property to be excluded from taxation. For example, a home valued at $150,000 previously would be liable for taxes on $125,000. With the new provision, only $100,000 is subject to the property tax. Yet, another provision of the amendment allowed the wealthy to exclude as much as $400,000 from taxation when they sold a house and moved. So the benefits of the amendment went overwhelmingly to the rich.
But with more property excluded from taxation, revenues to fund local government services have declined significantly. Marginal tax rates may increase over time in an effort to recoup the lost revenues. In the meantime, however, other taxes and fees are being raised to generate funding for the government services citizens expect. An early response to the amendment from the city council in Jacksonville was the implementation of a new household tax to fund garbage collection. As the article below explains, city leaders want to increase that tax. Property tax savings for people of moderate means have been more than offset by increases in other taxes and fees. The overall tax burden for residents of Florida is being increasingly shifted from the wealthy to everyone else.
So some of the people who voted for amendment 1 in the expectation of paying less in overall taxes are now paying more. Their vote for lower property taxes has increased their overall tax burden.
In the April 24, 2010 Florida Times-Union article "Proposal to double Jacksonville's garbage fee up for vote Tuesday," Matt Galnor reports on the higher garbage fees:
But with more property excluded from taxation, revenues to fund local government services have declined significantly. Marginal tax rates may increase over time in an effort to recoup the lost revenues. In the meantime, however, other taxes and fees are being raised to generate funding for the government services citizens expect. An early response to the amendment from the city council in Jacksonville was the implementation of a new household tax to fund garbage collection. As the article below explains, city leaders want to increase that tax. Property tax savings for people of moderate means have been more than offset by increases in other taxes and fees. The overall tax burden for residents of Florida is being increasingly shifted from the wealthy to everyone else.
So some of the people who voted for amendment 1 in the expectation of paying less in overall taxes are now paying more. Their vote for lower property taxes has increased their overall tax burden.
In the April 24, 2010 Florida Times-Union article "Proposal to double Jacksonville's garbage fee up for vote Tuesday," Matt Galnor reports on the higher garbage fees:
When the City Council first passed a new garbage fee three years ago, it outlined gradual increases to try to cover the actual costs by 2014.
On Tuesday the council is expected to vote on a bill that would blow through that schedule and more than double the fee come Oct. 1.
The fee proposal is part of Mayor John Peyton's plan to bring city fees closer in line with how much the city spends providing the service.
If all of the new fees are approved Tuesday, it will bring in about $25 million to city coffers - and more than $20 million of the new dollars come from raising the garbage fee.
The annual garbage fee would go from $72 to more than $150 - contrary to the 2007 bill that would bring the fees up no more than $12 each year.
"We're catching hell paying this, how we going to pay more?" Southside resident Robert Blackshear said, sitting with friends in a lot off Old St. Augustine Road. "But they don't see it that way downtown."
Council Vice President Jack Webb helped lead the charge for a closer look at all city fees - some of which hadn't been changed in 25 years.
The analysis looked at everything from building permits and facility rentals to zoning change applications and the cost to rename a street.
The increases are tough, especially the garbage fee, Webb said, but added to the reality is the city has to try to capture its costs.
"It's bitter medicine, but we've got to do something to get our financial house in order," Webb said.
Councilman John Crescimbeni said Friday he's preparing an amendment that would change some of the fees.
For example, the fee to apply for a Planned Unit Development is now $1,500, but it costs the city more than $3,500 to process. The proposed fee is $2,000.
"The premise that this thing is being sold on - recovering costs - should be for everybody or nobody," Crescimbeni said.
The garbage fee would cover the cost of collecting residential waste, but there's another $28 a year per household in disposal costs that won't be covered by the new fees, Peyton spokeswoman Misty Skipper said.
The proposal passed two council committees last week - including a narrow 5-4 vote in the Finance Committee.
Crescimbeni was among those voting against it, as were Don Redman and Bill Bishop. Both Redman and Bishop said they were against it because of the original 2007 plan to increase the monthly fee by $1 every year.
"It's going back on our word," Redman said.
Peyton is proposing a $58 million shortfall for the budget that will begin Oct. 1. The mayor says the primary cause is rising employee costs and the city has so far been unsuccessful in getting unions to agree to a 3 percent pay cut and a less lucrative pension for new hires.
matt.galnor@jacksonville.com, (904) 359-4550
Links:
[1] http://jacksonville.com/sites/default/files/JacksonvilleNews1_9.jpg
Monday, April 12, 2010
AP survey: Recovery to remain sluggish into 2011
In the April 12, 2010 article "AP survey: Recovery to remain sluggish into 2011," Associated Press economics writer Jeannine Aversa says a survey of economists suggests U.S. economic growth will remain quite modest until at least 2011.
"Among the first survey's key findings:
• The unemployment rate will stay stubbornly high the next two years. It will inch down to 9.3 percent by the end of this year and to 8.4 percent by the end of 2011. The rate has been 9.7 percent since January. When the recession started in December 2007, unemployment was 5 percent.
• Home prices will remain almost flat for the next two years, even after plunging an average 30 percent nationally since their peak in 2006. The economists forecast no rise this year and a 2.3 percent gain next year.
• The economy will grow 3 percent this year, which is less than usual during the early phase of a recovery and the reason unemployment will stay high. It takes growth of 5 percent for a year to lower the jobless rate by 1 percentage point, economists say."
Tea Party Supporters of Smaller Government Advocate Volunteer State Militias
One way to reduce the size of the U.S. federal government is to decrease military expenditures. Some people advocate a return to state militias as a response to increased federalism. According to the April 12, 2010 article "Okla. tea parties and lawmakers envision militia," members of the Oklahoma tea party movement are considering it.
Sunday, April 11, 2010
Wednesday, April 7, 2010
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